AI-generated representation of a cloudy sky over a rural landscape.
Bengaluru: November rainfall is most likely to be below normal across south peninsular India, the India Meteorological Department said in its monthly outlook. South interior Karnataka is part of the five-subdivision region covered by this forecast.
For this regional aggregate, IMD forecasts rainfall below 77% of the long-period average. The region comprises south interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu with Puducherry and Karaikal, coastal Andhra Pradesh with Yanam, Rayalaseema, and Kerala with Mahe. Its November rainfall average is 118.7 mm, based on the 1971–2020 period.
The 77% benchmark applies to the combined south peninsular region. It is not a separate rainfall estimate for Karnataka as a whole, south interior Karnataka alone or Bengaluru district.
At the national level, November rainfall is also most likely to be below 77% of the all-India long-period average of 29.7 mm. Below-normal rainfall is likely over most of the country, with some areas of central, northwest, east and northeast India likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall.
Maximum temperatures during November are likely to be above normal over most of the country. Some areas along the Himalayan foothills are exceptions, where normal to below-normal maximum temperatures are likely.
Minimum temperatures are also likely to be above normal over most of India, except many parts of central and eastern India, where normal to below-normal minimum temperatures are likely.
The monthly outlook describes rainfall over the whole month, rather than the timing of individual showers. A below-normal monthly total can coexist with short spells of heavy rain; readers should continue to follow shorter-term thunderstorm and heavy-rain warnings.
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